Surprise, Not All Stove Are Hot

It is something, likely, as old as stoves. Most folks quickly learn not to touch hot stoves.

Actually, it is not so important today as it was a couple of centuries ago when ole Ben first started building stoves. Generally speaking, when someone would touch a hot stove, they were not apt to repeat it.

Actually, I suspect it went back even farther than that. Before there were stoves, there were fireplaces. Before fireplaces campfires, or their equivalent.

I even heard a tale of one of the big wigs at Levi learning not to kneel next to campfires…first time. It was then that they decided to remove one or two of the rivets from the area just below the fly of their famous canvas trousers.

The one thing brought away from the first experience was the probability of pain, sometimes a little embarrassment too. However, here’s the news. Not all stoves are hot. Not all rivets are hot. It just is that once exposed to these experiences we mostly come away thinking they are, or at least can be. It is referred to as inductive reasoning. Because the first stove we touch is hot, we assume all stoves are hot.

What if the reverse is true. What if the first stove you touch is ambient temperature? Do we then assume that all stoves are cool to the touch. If we do this, we expose ourselves to many painful experiences. This is called inductive reasoning.

While it is useful, it can easily lead to errors. For instance, if we see a brown Labrador retriever, it would be wrong to assume that all dogs are brown and weigh eighty pounds. Indeed, it would be wrong to assume that all Labs are brown. Oddly there are some that are black.

On the other hand, suppose we touch a hundred cool stoves. Can we then assume are stoves are cool? If we see a hundred brown Labs, are we to assume that all labs are brown.

You see, even though we see a large number of examples, we cannot truly assume anything.

Until we see a large enough number of examples, we cannot positively say that we know all labs are brown and that all stoves are cool. Even when working with large numbers, inductive reasoning can lead us astray.

I wish that kids in the eighth grade were required to spend a few hours learning about inductive and deductive reasoning. I am convinced the concept is extremely important in so many parts of life.

Let’s take for instance, the woman that is robbed by an African American. Is it right for her to be afraid of all African Americans? Of course, not. Yet, it may take her years to get over the experience. Our fears are not always founded on good logic. Indeed, her fear might keep her from many good friendships.

The somewhat opposite of inductive reasoning is deductive reasoning. In deductive reasoning, we draw conclusions from many, perhaps exhaustive numbers of examples. It is best that these examples are at random. It is the way that medical research is done. I suppose we can say that statistics and deductive reasoning are interrelated. The more the examples and the more random, the more accurate will be the stats deductive reasoning that depends on the stats.

If we have a random selection of a million dogs, it is likely that only a few will be Labs and we will likely see a few black dogs, white dogs and even a few multi-color dogs. Therefore, we can have a more accurate idea of the coloring of dogs. If we take a random measurement of a million stoves, we might actually find that only 30% are hot enough to cause pain, or even discomfort. (only a wild guess, not am actual statistic)

I’m not going to try to create an equivalent example with the thievery. It’s far too complex and there are too many ways it can go wrong with my imaginary statistics. Moreover, I am not going to suggest that a woman should get robbed a million times. Two or three maybe, but no more. Still, the principles remain firm. With a larger number of examples, we would be able to draw more accurate deductions.

However, we need to be careful about drawing snap conclusions. When we go from the millions of examples and try to derive a single situation from millions of examples, we can still be wrong. For instance, if I may. It would not indicate that a thief is of any ethnicity, and it would be wrong to make any such suggestion.

Yet, every day, I see some people blame Black men because of individual as well as vast statistical data. Those methods just don’t work. And, by the way, the methods don’t work on Caucasian policemen, again, regardless of past inductive or deductive reasoning. You cannot convict a policeman based on past experience just as the woman cannot convict based on past thieves.

Perhaps the most horrible example of inductive reasoning is when the person says, “Single parent families are just as good as two-parent families.” Then they go about calling out two, three or four examples of good kids brough up by single parents. That logic has two holes. First, it is based on a very small count of examples. Second, there is the probability that, if there is a second parent, the child would likely have turned out better. The statistics back it up. We are talking millions of examples not just two or three.

On the other side of the coin, I see people say that a particular person turned out good or bad because of his parent(s). The stats prove that some good kids come from bad or broken homes and bad kids come from homes with good parents.

In this case, the inductive logic gets us nowhere and the deductive logic only shows trends. The trend shows overwhelmingly that two parent homes are better. But logic tells us that it is only true if they are good parents. Abusive and or alcoholic parents rarely qualify as good parents. Yet, again, some good kids come from homes with abusive parents. Sorry. I have no explanation for that. I’m not sure there is one.

For those who are not truly familiar with the terms inductive and deductive reasoning, may I suggest you take an hour or two and look into it on the net. Most will find it far more complex than most of us realize. For instance, one thing that must accurately be determined in inductive reasoning is an accurate correlation. For instance, that dance by that Voo-do doctor likely has nothing to do with that solar eclipse. On the other hand, all that rain I dumped on my lawn the other day likely had nothing to do with the thunderstorm we got the next day, though it did seem a little coincidental. If we collected enough data, it is likely to be proved that the one thing had nothing to do with the other.

Did Someone Say Something About Home made Guns?

Actually, I did, years ago.

Now, I’m hearing reports that the former premier of Japan was killed by one. I hate that. Mostly, as a pro-life person, I always hate such horrble things. In this case, it is especially horrid. I would not have been so upset if it had happened to the likes of Putin or that no-account who treats all those in China so badly. Then again, if either of them were to begin experiencing the after life, he most certainly would be replaced with someone worse.

Regardless, that aside, the man proved my point. In a country where gun control is the norm, the culprit either made his weapon or he bought it from someone who knows his gunsmithing. I neither wanted nor welcome the proof, but all must accept it when it becomes obvious.

Now that we are in a society that wants to take guns from lawful citizenry, we must face the fact that the criminals will be carrying homemade guns, perhaps fully automatic. This is especially noteworthy considering that the next mistake the FOCs will make is to remove the guns from the police.

By the way, when no one but criminals have guns, every gun becomes an effective assault weapon. It’s precisely what the libs want: a nation ruled by criminals. It is a world they can fix into a nation like China.

The Inevitable Result of the Pipeline

It is one of those old laws so to speak of the pipeline. If what you put in is bad, most likely what you get out the other end will be bad. So let’s take a quick look at the pipeline and what we are putting in and just what is coming out.

We put in children from broken Godless homes. We send them through schools where no one can say anyting about God, or even speak the truth about good and evil without someone losing his job. We teach that mankind has no greater importance than a whale, porpoise or ape, and the kids come out believing all things they are taught.

If a person is no more than an animal, but more intelligent and with apposing thumbs: if all man is doing is destroying plants, animals and the climate, then why not believe he has improved the world by destroying some of the horrible human inhabitants?

Don’t all animals go around killing others, even of their own type? Why shouldn’t men kill other men? We are only soulless animals as all the others.

Indeed, as a society, we kill even the youngest and most innocent. Joe speaks as if it is our duty kill babies before they have a chance to breathe the air we breath, to be sure, before they are protected by law.

If there are any statistics, I suspect they would prove at least 8 out of 10 killers come from broken homes where the Bible was never read.

And so it would seem that I’m blaming broken homes for all the shootings. Nothing could be farther from the truth. God tells us we each are responsible for our own actions.

After all, Eve blamed the snake. Adam blamed Eve and even implied God was guilty because He made Eve for him.

Mankind always looks for excuses, a way out. Yet, when we do we always make things worse. So, Joe tries to blame the weapon instead of the shooter. That makes about as much sense as Cain blaming the rock for his killing Able. You notice even Cain was not that dumb.

I’ve said it before and I’ll repeat it till the day I die. The time to pray is before the disasters. Afterwards is too late. But then, the government won’t let us pray beforehand, only after.

So, the pipeline made up of broken homes and atheist schools keeps turning out kids who know not the difference between good and evil. To that degree, society is guilty. How can they know right from wrong when no one is permitted to teach them.

It’s the Saltwater!

For many years, I’ve wondered why almost all the people in states with coastlines seem to have lost their abilities to reason. California and New York, the states with the most coastline are the states are also the states with the least people with good reason.

Then, I considered Chicago. OK. They have no saltwater but they do have a coastline. I guess I need to modify my theory, all coastlines.

Wait a minute! Maybe Florida has more saltwater coastline than any other state.

The question does, however comes to mind. Is it the coasts that warp the minds or does the water simply attract those who lack reasonable reasoning.

There seems to be no doubt. You look in any of the states with coasts and the problem is always worse the closer they are to the water. Consider Long Island and San Francisco. They are almost surrounded by water.

Maybe we need to quickly put some kind of barrier arround Florida before they become the liberal capitol of world.

Unmasking Masks

It would seem that, with exceptions, masks have become optional. Maybe, soon, they will be history.

It does not surprise me. If there was a reason to wear masks, they have had two years to prove it. No one did. On the contrary, I have heard reports of studies disproving their effectiveness.

I guess that was the reason for the judge’s ruling. I guess that is the reason the decision was not contested. I would suspect it won’t be long most of us will be maskless henceforth.

Next, hopefully, the mandatory vaccines will fade into obscurity. Then, maybe they will start allowing effective treatments. Seems to me that there are a few we already know of that work. There are even a couple inexpensive ones.

California Ads?

I used to live in California. I grew up not far from Disneyland. In fact, I was there before there was a Disneyland.

One thing I noticed was that those who visited the Golden state had a tendency to want to stay. I wasn’t the only only one who noticed it. Many others made similar remarks.

There wasn’t a need to advertise the place. It had unlimited natural magnets. The weather and beaches were enough, but there were so many others.

Guess things have changed. People are leaving the place. I guess some are just leaving. Others must first sell their homes, possibly taking a loss.

Now, would you believe, California is running ads, frequently. I keep seeing them. Someone needs to tell them that there is a far better way.

  1. Get all the libs out of the governments, state and local.
  2. Reduce the taxes.
  3. Reduce regulations.
  4. Fix the schools and colleges.

afterwards , those wonderful natural magnets would do all the rest. It would be better for California, the residents and the country. As for those running the state now, it would be better that they find another line of work…better for everyone.

Moreover, the ads by themselves don’t stand a chance of working. All the U-Hauls will be outbound.

The folks in Texas and Florida already figured it out. Just maybe are smarter than the air heads on the west coast.

Windmills, Solar Cells and Drive Through Restaurants Forever

It would seem the two have no relation with the third but I assure you they do.

When I first moved into this area, there were few restaurants of any kind, even fewer drive throughs. We had no McDonald’s nor Burger King. If we were going to eat out, we mostly had to drive up into Memphis. In a way, that was a good thing. Back then I had debts, a family and not much of of an income. Today, a $230 mortgage payment does not seem a lot. Well, in 1977, it was enormous for someone who just left the Marines and settled in a town far away from my native California.

We eked by over the years, paid off our bills, the kids are now out on their own and now, one of our major expenses are two old dogs. I do mean old, both over 12. So we spend a lot on dog food and vet bills. However, we have a very wide selection of places to eat, from large nice places to small nice places. I might add we also have a few places that are not so nice.

With the two of us getting older, I’ve decided to spoil the wife as much as I can; so we eat out more than we eat in. That saves washing dishes, if nothing else. Mostly, when we eat in, we put the microwave to use. I’ve even considered buying a second one but I’m not so sure the old aluminum wiring in the house could handle it. Therefore, from time to time, we use the stove, though we try to keep oven use to the winter.

Then the China virus hit. That was a big disruption to our life style. To the best of my knowledge, neither of us has had it, though we do know a few who have. Instantly, however, we went to using drive throughs.

Did I mention that I really hate drive throughs. However, I had no choice. Suddenly, everyone closed their dinning room. Worse, I had to wear a mask in the local grocer. They took my temp as I entered and if I got too close to that century mark, we would have had to go hungry, as well as the poor dogs. The wife and I can stand a day or two without food but the dogs have sort-of become used to a regular meal.

Besides, the wife and I could go to a drive through. Most of them do not sell dog food. I would have tried to explain but they simply would not have understood, though their vocabulary is pretty good. Being a little overweight, it would do them good to miss a meal. My best guess is that they still would not have liked it.

So, during the beginning of the pandemic, whenever we went to a restaurant for food, we went through a drive through and brought it home. Sometimes we took it to a park, when the weather permitted. It beat staring at the same walls I’ve been looking at for over thirty years.

Now, after all this time, a little less than half the restaurants have opened their dining rooms. Fortunately, 2 days before our anniversary, Outback opened their dining room. I thanked them for that and again I thank them publicly. We both had a nice steak and baked potato in really nice surroundings. In addition, neither of us washed one dish.

Now that some things are somewhat back to normal, I think back over it all. Moreover, I wonder if the next wave of the virus will drive us indoors again, and back to the drive throughs.

Then today, I thought of those who want to “save energy” and decrease “CO2.” I went back all through my memory over the time since Fauci began his rampage and I cannot find one instance of anyone wanting to do away with drive throughs.

I find the concept of using acres to generate electricity wasteful, though maybe a tad successful. I find windmills pretty useless on a calm day. Moreover, I am sure the two methods require a lot of maintenance.

Then I shake my head at the whole mess. The amount of energy produced by solar cells is likely countered by the energy wasted waiting in line for Whoppers. The carbon dioxide saved by windmills is likely greatly countered by the fumes coming from cars waiting on their driver’s Big Macs. Yet, no one has said a thing about it.

I figured out why. It really makes since. The green earth folks consider the convenience of a drive through more important than the energy used. The importance of staying in their air-conditioned autos more important carbon the spewed while they sit there and wait… their engines doing nothing while the car’s occupants remain comfortable.

Am I wrong? Maybe. Still, why do I not hear any of them complain about drive throughs.

And so it is, we are stuck here with windmills, solar cells and drive throughs forever. It’s not that we can’t do anything about it. It just seems few, if any, want to.

Besides, it makes it so much simpler for the FOCs to control us.

A Little Reminder Of Years Gone By

At my most recent visit to McDonald’s I had just turned in my order. As I approached my table, a woman came storming in and reminded me of language I had tolerate while going through M.C.R.D. (Marine boot camp)

She did manage to meet her goal. Within a minute or two she walked back out satisfied that she now had the food she wanted and also, I’m sure, upset the poor guy behind the counter. To be sure, such language was effective but it also spoke volumes about her. I would suspect there were a few others who took note too.

However, what she may not have known was that it also spoke volumes about her and her parents. Likely, she didn’t care, which also said something about the woman. For one thing, I instantly had no respect for the woman. Why should anyone have any respect for a woman who has no respect for herself.

More than that, she clearly had no anger management skills. She never made any attempt at resolving the problem with simple reason. I don’t know about others, but I have found that when I complain with a smile, it generally is at least as effective and I don’t upset anyone. If I do continue to have problems, I ask to speak to the manager. I don’t always get a resolution, but, believe me, they do remember me. A proper word spoken with reason can be far more effective than a bunch of profanity spoken loud enough that everyone in the place can hear it.

Most important, when I leave, I am generally respected. Again, why should they respect me if I don’t respect myself.

I have written about respect before, but the type we have for each other. However, it would seem we also have problems with self-respect. People who respect themselves don’t get involved in the “crash and runs.” People who do such things, even according to the Bible bring shame on themselves and their parents. In a more broad sense, they bring shame on all their kinfolk. After a while, it is only natural to think badly anyone close to him.

And again, the person does not care one iota. Why should they. No one taught them any better. Many never had fathers. In some cases, it might be better if they didn’t have fathers. Those who raised them, those who were their example might be worse than they are. Nonetheless, when I see them going through a Walgreens with their arms full of loot, it speaks volumes to me about them, and those who brought them up.

Respect, all respect begins at home. If kids are not taught respect for others and themselves at home, then no one will respect them. It really isn’t a difficult thing to figure out, but it would seem the dems are having a difficult time of it.

Incidentally, respect of the law and those who enforce it is pretty important too. It just might keep a person out of prison. It just might keep a person from being killed. It’s a good thing to remember, even when you get pulled over for have something dangling from the rear-view mirror.

As usual, I have a little side note. If you speak respectfully to those behind the counter, it just might be a little less embarrassing when you find out you were wrong.

Perfect Advice

I understand Kamala is looking for advice from Hillary.

You may think this odd but this just might be a great idea. All Hillary needs to say is “Just think of how I would do things. Then, do the exact opposite. ” That would work well for her. Then again, if Kamala were smart enough to follow the reverse of the advice, she might regret that, being as that would be the reverse of the reverse.

Maybe it would be better to ask a person who actually has some real common sense. Thing is, you and I know that’s not going to happen.

Supplying Our Needs

Some folks seem to think that Old Joe Biden just doesn’t know how to manage supplying things. They point to all the ships waiting to dock in Los Angeles and Long Beach harbors. I guess they do have something of a point.

However, he is really good at supplying the important things. I understand he just almost managed to get a terrorist into the US the other day. No telling how many he managed to bring in before. Then of course there are the drugs. He is bringing drugs into the country in record quantities. It is a shame they are causing record death instead of the help that President Trump managed.

Then there is the disease he has managed to bring into the US. While he pretends to care about reducing the China Virus, he has brought thousands of cases north, just so he fire people who don’t want the vaccine. (Maybe he could reduce the cases more by testing those entering by the border.)

By the way, he just almost brought two people in who had TB. They tested positive at the border. I wonder just how many people would just love an epidemic of TB right in the middle of everything else. Perhaps he would just love to see TB or some similar disease break out in some big major hospital.

I don’t think I like this occupier of the oval office, him or his cohort. What’s his name now? Oh, yes. Fauci. He seems to be the one who managed to help him win the election without speaking hardly a word to the public. Both of them ought to be in prison.

Speaking of prison, it would seem that he also brought a few of his friends north, the type who belong in prison. This of course he does while saying we commoners have no need of guns. The police will protect us, the police who he and his friends virtually destroyed.